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国家计委价格监测中心的研究报告分析,目前国内棉花价格已跌至历史较低水平,预计2002年度棉花购销价格将趋于平稳,低位徘徊。研究报告显示,2002年度棉花价格趋于平稳的主要原因:一是受2001年度棉花价格大幅下跌的影响,2002年度棉花播种面积和产量将大幅减少。据有关部门调查统计,2002年国内棉花种植面积将减少。二是我国纺织行业经济运行势头良好。今年以来国内纺织行业市场形势明显好转,纺织品出口增速回升。三是今年美国及世界经济将逐步复苏,也有利于扩大全球纺织品消费,增加棉花需求。尽管存在以上促使棉花价格止跌趋稳的因素,但是从国内外棉花产销形势分析,2002年度全球和国内棉花市场
National Planning Commission Price Monitoring Center research report analysis, the current domestic cotton prices have dropped to a historically low level, is expected in 2002 cotton purchase and sale prices will tend to be stable, low hovering. The research report shows that the main reasons why the cotton price stabilized in 2002 are as follows: First, due to the sharp drop in the cotton price in 2001, the sown area and output of cotton in 2002 will be substantially reduced. According to the investigation and statistics of relevant departments, the domestic cotton acreage will be reduced in 2002. Second, China’s textile industry has enjoyed a sound economic performance. Since the beginning of this year, the market situation in the domestic textile industry has obviously improved. The export growth of textile products has picked up. Third, the U.S. and the world economy will gradually recover this year. It will also help to expand global consumption of textiles and increase cotton demand. Despite the above factors that have contributed to stabilizing the price of cotton, the analysis of the situation of cotton production and marketing both at home and abroad shows that the global and domestic cotton markets in 2002