Verification of a Similar Cycle Prediction for the Ascending and Peak Phases of Solar Cycle 23

• 作 者: Jia-Long Wang Jian-Cun Gong 等
• 机 构: NationalAstronomicalObservatories,CenterforSpaceScienceandAppliedResearch
• 出 处: 中国天文和天体物理学报：英文版
• 发表日期: 2002年5期
• 关键词: 太阳活动周期 预报技术 太阳黑子 太阳观测 Sun: sunspots - solar-terrestrial relations
• 基金项目: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 4999-0451 and 10073013) ,, Space Environment Forecast Center, CSSAR, CAS.

Reviews of long-term predictions of solar cycles have shown that a precise prediction with a lead time of 2 years or more of a solar cycle remains an unsolved problem.We used a simple method,the method of similar cycles,to make long-term predictions of no