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构建了黑河流域农业节水协调可持续发展指标体系、协调度和协调发展度模型,采用熵值法确定指标权重,分析了该流域2004—2009年社会经济与农业节水协调可持续发展水平。结果表明:(1)社会经济与农业节水技术水平综合指数呈上升趋势,农业水资源开发利用程度综合指数呈下降趋势;(2)农业节水可持续发展水平呈波动发展趋势,整体发展水平较低,属于传统落后发展阶段,2006年和2009年最高,为0.43,2005年最低,均为0.34;(3)社会经济与农业节水协调发展2004年和2006年不协调,2005年不太协调,2007—2009年达到基本协调,但仍有较大潜力可挖。
The index system, coordination degree and coordinated development degree model of coordinated and sustainable development of agricultural water-saving in Heihe River basin are constructed. The weight of indicators is determined by entropy method. The coordinated and sustainable development of social economy and agricultural water saving in this basin is analyzed. The results showed that: (1) the comprehensive index of socioeconomic and agricultural water-saving technologies was on the rise, and the comprehensive index of the degree of development and utilization of agricultural water resources showed a declining trend; (2) the level of sustainable development of agricultural water-saving showed a trend of fluctuating development and the overall level of development Lower, belong to the traditional backward development stage, the highest in 2006 and 2009, at 0.43, the lowest in 2005, both 0.34; (3) the coordinated development of socio-economic and agricultural water-saving in 2004 and 2006 are not coordinated, 2005 is not too Coordination, 2007-2009 to achieve basic coordination, but still have greater potential to dig.