论文部分内容阅读
欧元沉重地进入6月,美元则一路引吭高歌。预计美元中长期依然节节高升。自2010年5月以来,美元表现强势,戏剧性地从81上涨至87水平附近,市场出现有关美元周线图抛物线形趋势的说法(见图1)。一些分析师指出,此次美元的强势并没有得到经济基本面的支撑,而是由于欧元的疲弱衬托出美元的强势,美元近期表现是出于避险需求的增加,美元指数或将继续走强,直到6月底,达到89～91,随后可能崩溃,跌落至81。
The euro plunged heavily into June, while the dollar sang all the way. The dollar is still expected to rise in the medium and long term. The dollar has been in a strong, dramatic rise from 81 to around 87 since May 2010, with the market noting a parabolic trend in the dollar weekly chart (see Figure 1). Some analysts pointed out that the strength of the U.S. dollar has not been supported by economic fundamentals, but because the weakness of the euro set off the strength of the U.S. dollar. The recent performance of the U.S. dollar is due to an increase in demand for safe-haven and the U.S. dollar index will continue to strengthen. Until the end of June, reaching 89 to 91, then may collapse, fell to 81.