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基于1994～2009年中国ISO9000认证和出口贸易数据,使用动态计量经济学的多项式分布滞后模型、单位根检验理论、协整理论和Granger因果检验理论实证地分析了中国ISO9000认证与出口贸易间的动态关联机制。结果表明:(1)ISO9000认证对中国出口贸易具有较明显的促进作用;(2)ISO9000认证与出口贸易间有着长期稳定的动态关系;(3)ISO9000认证与出口贸易间具有动态的因果关系。
Based on the data of China ISO9000 certification and export trade from 1994 to 2009, this paper empirically analyzes the dynamics of China's ISO9000 certification and export trade using the dynamic polynomial distribution lag model of dynamic econometrics, unit root test theory, cointegration theory and Granger causality test theory Association mechanism. The results show that: (1) ISO9000 certification has a significant promoting effect on China's export trade; (2) There is a long-term stable dynamic relationship between ISO9000 certification and export trade; (3) There is a dynamic causal relationship between ISO9000 certification and export trade.