论文部分内容阅读
在中国的城市交通史中,恐怕再不会有如此大规模的、资金高度密集的建设和改造时期了。2003年10月底,北京市政府对外宣布,将在2008年之前的5年时间内,投入1800亿元人民币,对目前北京交通网络进行整体升级,全力改善北京交通拥堵状况。 1800 亿是一个什么数字?是三峡工程的投资总额,也是申奥成功后北京市计划进行城市基础设施建设的全部资金。而在北京城市交通急速提升的1991年至2000年,10年间交通投资累计只有516亿元。 眼下,北京正不情愿地步入了一个“堵车时代”,交通越来越成为影响城市建设和房地产开发的一个核心元素。“地段、地段还是地段”,曾经被房地产开发商奉为至理名言,随着城市化的飞速发展和交通工具的普及,交通的便利性还将成为衡量房地产项目品质的重要依据。 据此,我们有理由相信,随着这 1800亿元交通改造项目的逐年实施,势将给北京的房地产格局带来深远的、甚至颠覆性的变化。如果我们想超越手头的具体项目和销售指标,对北京房地产的市场前景建立一个更前瞻的判断,那么,我们有必要了解,这些变化将体现在哪些方面?作为发展商,我们可能有哪些应对? 或者,如华高莱斯公司总经理李忠先生所言,“重新审视我们的城市,审视我们的生活,也重新审视我们的购房行为……”
In China’s urban traffic history, I am afraid there will be no such a large-scale, highly-funded construction and transformation period. By the end of October 2003, the Beijing municipal government announced to the outside world that it will invest 180 billion yuan within 5 years before 2008 to upgrade the current Beijing traffic network as a whole and make every effort to improve traffic congestion in Beijing. What is the figure of 180 billion? It is the total investment of the Three Gorges Project and the total amount of capital that Beijing plans to construct urban infrastructure after the successful bid for the Olympic Games. In the period from 1991 to 2000, Beijing’s urban transport surged rapidly. Only 10.6 billion yuan was invested in transportation in the past 10 years. Right now, Beijing is reluctant to enter a “traffic jam era,” and traffic has become more and more a core element affecting urban construction and real estate development. “Lot, lot or lot,” has been regarded as the wisdom of real estate developers, with the rapid development of urbanization and the popularity of transport, traffic convenience will also become an important basis for measuring the quality of real estate projects. Accordingly, we have reason to believe that with the implementation of this 180 billion yuan traffic reconstruction project year after year, it will bring far-reaching and even disruptive changes to Beijing’s real estate pattern. If we want to go beyond the specific projects and sales indicators in hand to establish a more forward-looking judgment on the real estate market in Beijing, then we need to understand what these changes will be and what are the possible responses to our development as a developer? Or, as Mr. Li Zhong, general manager of Wagons, puts it, “re-examine our cities, look at our lives and re-examine our buying practices ...”