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今年上半年,政策面消息不断,但是真正能够撼动销量的不外乎房价回落。在13万套高库存的压力下,短期内供需不平衡。另一方面,去年土地推地量处在一个井喷阶段,加之今年上半年多个新盘由于蓄客不足等原因而一再推迟开盘时间,今年楼市或将存在集中释放,去化情况堪忧。截至8月25日,杭州十城商品房总存量为134352套,其中住宅存量91900套,占比总量的68%,而去年住宅占比量达65%。住宅占比与去年同期无太大差别,但总量上涨近一倍。如上图所示,
In the first half of this year, there was constant news on the policy side, but nothing less than the drop in housing prices. Under the pressure of 130,000 sets of high inventories, supply and demand are not balanced in the short term. On the other hand, the volume of land pushed last year was at a blowout stage. Coupled with the fact that a number of new trades have repeatedly delayed opening hours due to insufficient storage capacity in the first half of this year, the property market will likely be concentrated and released this year. As of August 25, Hangzhou ten city total stock of 134352 units of housing, of which 91,900 units of residential stock, accounting for 68% of the total, while last year accounted for 65% of residential. The proportion of residential buildings did not differ much from the same period of last year, but the total amount nearly doubles. As shown in FIG,