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2002年上半年,中国石油市场行情仍主要受国际油价走势影响。国家和两大石油集团加强对市场的调控,也在一定程度上影响了国内石油市场行情。上半年原油供应充裕,主要油品供应增长小于需求增长,库存普遍下降。柴汽生产比一度创历史最高纪录。原油基准价和成品油零售中准价呈先降后升之势,但同比水平有所下降。东北地区石油系统内外差价拉大,且居全国之首;南方市场石油系统内外价差较小,油价趋同;竞争较为激烈的华北、中原及沿海地区成品油市场批发价与出厂价接近。预计,下半年国内石油市场运行将相对平稳,大部分时间,大部分地区市场价格仍将低于国家规定的最高限价,但总体水平会比上半年略有提高。与去年相比,今年成品油市场价格与国家规定的最高限价的差距将有所缩小,石油系统内外的价差也会有所缩小。
In the first half of 2002, the market of China’s oil was still mainly affected by the trend of international oil prices. The state and the two major oil groups to strengthen the market regulation, but also to a certain extent, affected the domestic oil market. In the first half of the year, there was ample supply of crude oil, the growth in the supply of major oil products was less than the demand growth, and the stocks generally declined. Chai Steam production ratio was at a record high. The benchmark price of crude oil and the benchmark retail price of refined oil products dropped first and then increased, but the YoY decline. In Northeast China, the difference between the internal and external oil prices widens and ranks first in the country; the internal and external spreads in the southern market are relatively small and the prices of oil are similar; the wholesale and ex-factory prices of the refined oil markets in North China, the Central Plains and the coastal areas which are more competitive are similar. Expected in the second half of the domestic oil market will be relatively stable operation, most of the time, the market price in most areas will remain below the national maximum price, but the overall level of slightly higher than the first half. Compared with last year, the difference between the market price of refined oil products and the ceiling price stipulated by the state will be narrowed this year, and the spread between the oil system inside and outside will also be reduced.