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通过对26个OECD国家1997—2007年影响失业率诸多因素进行分析,在相关经济理论的基础上建立计量模型,对比分析普通保障型与就业关联型国家的特点。实证结果表明:两种类型国家的劳动参与率、通胀率和失业保险金替代率均与失业率呈负相关关系,而失业保险金支出与失业率呈正相关关系;普通保障型国家的失业率与经济增长率呈正相关,就业关联型国家的失业率与经济增长率负相关。其政策含义是:根据中国劳动力市场与经济运行现状,总结发达国家的规律经验,积极完善相关政策,促进居民福利的改善。
By analyzing many factors affecting the unemployment rate in 26 OECD countries from 1997 to 2007, the econometric model is established on the basis of the relevant economic theory, and the characteristics of the general protection and employment-related countries are compared. The empirical results show that the labor force participation rate, inflation rate and the unemployment insurance benefit replacement rate are negatively correlated with the unemployment rate in both types of countries, while the unemployment insurance expenditure is positively correlated with the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate and the unemployment rate The economic growth rate is positively correlated with the unemployment rate of the employment-related countries and the negative correlation with the economic growth rate. Its policy implications are: According to China’s labor market and economic status quo, summed up the experience of developed countries, and actively improve the relevant policies to promote the improvement of residents’ well-being.