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下半年,发达经济体整体缓慢复苏和新兴经济体相对减速的格局仍将延续,国际大宗商品价格保持相对稳定,输入性通胀压力不大。国内经济运行显露好转迹象,但受房地产市场低迷、产能过剩等因素制约,经济回升动力仍显不足,总体偏弱的市场需求使物价大幅上涨的可能不大。今年以来,受经济增速放缓、市场需求疲弱等因素影响,全区物价水平呈现温和上涨态势,主要工业品价格持续回落,对居民生活、企业经营形成一定影响。下半年,市场供求基本面决定全区物价仍将延续温和上涨态势,需在稳增长、调结构的同时,密切关注物价走势,借力价格杠杆,惠民生、助发展。
In the second half of the year, the overall slow recovery of developed economies and the relative slowdown of emerging economies will continue. The prices of international commodities will remain relatively stable with little pressure of imported inflation. However, due to the downturn of the real estate market and overcapacity, the motivation for economic recovery is still insufficient. However, the overall weak market demand is unlikely to cause a sharp rise in prices. Since the beginning of this year, affected by such factors as the slowdown in economic growth and the weak market demand, the price level in the region showed a mild upward trend. The prices of major industrial products continued to drop, which affected residents’ living and business operations to some extent. In the second half of the year, the fundamentals of market supply and demand will determine that prices in the entire region will continue to rise modestly. In the meantime, we should pay close attention to the price trend while leveraging on the price trend and leveraging on the people’s livelihood to help develop the economy.