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2015年是“十二五”规划的收官之年,是“十三五”规划的编制之年。在中国GDP季度增长率连续19个季度回落之后,2015年全年,中国经济走势如何?2016-2020年的“十三五”期间,中国经济走势如何?国内外广泛关注。我认为:2015年,中国经济增速的回落有望触底;2016-2020年,经济增速有望止跌企稳,并适度回升。要摆脱年年打“下限保卫战”的被动局面近年来,宏观调控的“微刺激”措施起到了“保下限”的作用。但经济增长的下行压力一再对经济运行合理区间的下
2015 is the closing year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” and the year of preparation for the “13th Five-Year Plan”. After the quarterly growth rate of GDP in China has dropped for 19 consecutive quarters, what is the trend of China’s economy in 2015? What are the economic trends of China during the “13th Five-Year Plan” period from 2016 to 2020? I think: In 2015, China’s economic growth rate is expected to bottom out. In 2016-2020, it is expected that economic growth will stabilize and rebound moderately. In order to get rid of the passive situation of playing the “minimum security war” every year in recent years, the “micro-stimulus” measures of macro-control play a role of “guaranteeing the minimum”. However, downward pressure on economic growth has repeatedly hit the economy under the reasonable range