【摘 要】
：
通过对尘肺病监测资料的分析，反映了连云港市尘肺病发病率从７０年代开始平均每年递增１３４％，发病人数每年递增３７１％，均呈逐年上升趋势。用灰色系统理论的方法进行预测［１］，与实际发病情况基本相
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通过对尘肺病监测资料的分析，反映了连云港市尘肺病发病率从７０年代开始平均每年递增１３４％，发病人数每年递增３７１％，均呈逐年上升趋势。用灰色系统理论的方法进行预测［１］，与实际发病情况基本相符。如不采取切实有效的防尘措施和个人防护，今后数年内，其患病率仍将维持较高水平，短期内不会下降并有所上升。
Through the analysis of pneumoconiosis surveillance data, the incidence of pneumoconiosis in Lianyungang City increased by 134% annually from the 1970s, and the incidence of pneumoconiosis increased by 371% every year, showing an upward trend year by year. The gray system theory to predict [1], and the actual incidence of the basic line. Without effective and effective measures against dust and personal protection, the prevalence will remain at a high level in the next few years and will not decrease in the short term and rise.
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