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在物价上涨面前,我们从没有感到如此的无能为力。房地产市场持续升温,猪肉价格一涨再涨,甚至方便面也抱团涨价了,五大发电集团又申请涨电价……什么时候我们才能驯服市场价格这匹脱缰的野马?物价上涨到底是不是通胀的前兆?尽管每天报刊上都有人信誓旦旦地宣称只是“通涨”不是通胀,但仍然无法消除人们心中的阴霾。太多的数据摆在面前,都指向了一个结论,中国经济出现了热的迹象:第二季度GDP增长达到11.9%,6月CPI涨4.4%,上半年房地产投资增长为28.5%,6月份全国70个大中城市房屋销售价格同比上涨7.1%,部分地区农产品涨价,方便面提价最高达40%。这些还不够,三大石油巨头和大唐、华能等五大发电集团则先后上书国家发改委,要求上调油价和电价。让各方更为担忧的是,种种迹象表明,当前的CPI指数还有相当大的抬升空间。此种状况,足以令人忧心。于是,政策“靴子”频繁落地:央行于7月20日宣布年内第3次加息,国务院同时宣布调减利息税至5%。仅仅10天后,央行宣布8月15日起,再次上调存款准备金率0.5%,这是今年第6次上调。多管齐下,市场究竟向下还是向上?政策会如何演变?是否还会有进一步紧缩的宏观调控政策出台?这一切仍然充满悬念。
In the face of rising prices, we have never felt so helpless. The real estate market continues to heat up, pork prices rose again and even even instant noodles also Baotuan prices, the five big power generation group also applied for electricity prices ... ... When can we tame the market price of this horse runaway? Price inflation in the end is not inflation Although every day in the press has vowed to declare that inflation is not inflation, it still can not eliminate the haze in people’s minds. Too much data before us all points to a conclusion that the Chinese economy has shown signs of heat: the GDP in the second quarter increased by 11.9%, the CPI in June increased by 4.4%, and the real estate investment in the first half grew by 28.5%. In June, the national 70 large and medium-sized cities housing sales price rose 7.1%, prices of agricultural products in some areas, instant noodles prices up to 40%. These are not enough. The three major oil giants such as Datang and Huaneng, the top five power generation groups, have written a letter to the National Development and Reform Commission requesting a raise in oil prices and electricity prices. What makes all parties even more worried is that there are indications that there is still considerable room for growth in the current CPI. This situation is enough worrying. As a result, the policy “boots ” frequently landing: the central bank announced on July 20 the third rate hike this year, the State Department also announced a reduction of interest tax to 5%. Just 10 days later, the central bank announced that on August 15, once again raised the deposit reserve ratio by 0.5%, which is the sixth increase this year. In a multi-pronged approach, what is the downward or upward trend of the market? How will the policy evolve? Will there be further macro-economic control policies introduced? All this is still full of suspense.