2004:解决中美贸易摩擦需要炉火纯青的战略战术

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本期“关注”中美从2003年冬至2004年春一系列贸易纠纷引发的中美贸易摩擦问题。我们将以四篇文章从四个角度来关注这个问题:《中美纺织品贸易摩擦的博弈分析》从博弈论的角度对中美纺织品贸易摩擦、事件的成因、应对进行分析:《中国应对WTO“特保条款”的六大措施》一文以对WTO“特保”条款的对策为分析突破点;最后,我们通过《透视欧盟对美国贸易制裁》,将世界两大贸易集团的贸易摩擦过程一一呈现,以期起到借鉴作用。本文作为此组文章的开篇,主要是从宏观角度纵论解决中美贸易摩擦的战略战术。 作者言:“回顾2003年末以来的中国贸易行动,似乎美国以‘保护主义’的攻为主,而中国在屡屡挨打后,仍坚韧地表现出‘和为贵’的思路。但无论如何,中国在频繁打压下仍创出了良好的出口业绩。 2004年,中国对外贸易将面临严竣的形势,过渡期的许多承诺将兑现,不仅关税要进一步降低到10.4%,而且各种非关税措施要取消,加上从今年开始实行的新的出口退税政策,更是对出口不利。 在这种情况下,处理好当前中美贸易摩擦显得格外重要。处理中美贸易摩擦不能简单地以彩电论彩电,以乳罩论乳罩,散兵散打,而应具备一套战略和战术。2004年,我们必须重新思考解决中美贸易摩擦的战略确定和战术部署。” This issue is concerned with Sino-US trade frictions triggered by a series of trade disputes between China and the United States from the winter of 2003 to the spring of 2004. We will pay attention to this issue from four angles in four articles: “The Game Analysis of China-US Textile Trade Friction” analyzes the causes of and responses to Sino-US textile trade frictions and incidents from the perspective of game theory: “China’s response to WTO” The article “The Six Measures of the Special Safeguard Clause” takes the countermeasures against the “special protection” clause of the WTO as the breakthrough point. Finally, we pass the “Perspective of EU Trade Sanctions against the United States” and the trade friction processes of the world’s two major trading groups Presented with a view to play a reference role. This article is the beginning of this group of articles, mainly from the macro point of view to solve the Sino-US trade friction strategy and tactics. The author said: “Recalling China’s trade actions since the end of 2003, it seems that the United States is mainly focusing on ’protectionism’, and after repeated beatings in China, China’s mentality is still tenacious to show its concept of ’conquering’, but in any case, China In 2004, China’s foreign trade will face a severe situation, and many commitments during the transition period will be fulfilled, not only reducing tariffs further to 10.4%, but also requiring various non-tariff measures. Cancellation, together with the new export tax rebate policy introduced from this year, is even more detrimental to exports. Under such circumstances, it is of great importance to handle the current trade friction between China and the United States. Dealing with trade friction between China and the United States cannot simply be based on color TV sets. In order to use bras on bras and brawlers, we should have a set of strategies and tactics. In 2004, we must rethink the strategic and tactical arrangements for resolving Sino-US trade frictions."
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