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本文通过建立结构向量自回归模型(SVAR)和向量误差修正模型(VEC),研究了住房流通环节税收冲击和保有环节税收冲击对我国房价变动的效应,并通过分析供给和需求的变动来研究物业税冲击对房价影响的传导途径。实证结果显示,物业税改革可以起到抑制房价上升的作用。流通环节的税收改革对房价产生的是持久的正向冲击,主要是通过对需求的调节来影响房价的。保有环节的税收改革对房价产生的冲击是短期的负向冲击,它主要是通过调节住房的供给量来影响价格的。
This paper studies the effect of tax impact on housing circulation and tax impact on the change of housing prices in our country through the establishment of SVAR and VEC and studies the change of supply and demand The Impact of Tax Impact on Housing Price Transmission. Empirical results show that property tax reform can play a role in curbing housing prices. Circulation of the tax reform on housing prices have a lasting positive impact, mainly through the regulation of demand to affect the price. The impact of the tax-reform part of the holding on housing prices is a short-term negative impact, it is mainly by adjusting the supply of housing to affect the price.