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2016年全国大豆播种面积较上年回升,其中东北“镰刀弯”地区大豆面积增幅较大。2016年春播时气候较适宜,如果生长期气候条件良好,大豆单产将高于上年,预计全年总产量将增加。2016年上半年国内外大豆价格同比均下降,进口大豆与国产大豆价差缩小。2016年1—5月大豆进口量超过3 000万t。展望下半年,国际大豆价格受天气、国际经济形势等因素影响,预计将偏强震荡,而国内大豆价格受面积增加、进口商检常态化、临储大豆拍卖、消费需求增加等因素影响,预计将保持稳定。
In 2016, the sown area of soybean in the country rebounded from the previous year, of which the area of soybean in the northeast “Sickle bend ” increased greatly. Spring 2016 broadcast climate is more appropriate, if the growing climatic conditions are good, soybean yield will be higher than the previous year, the annual output is expected to increase. In the first half of 2016, soybean prices both at home and abroad dropped compared with the same period of last year, and the spread between imported soybean and domestic soybean narrowed. January-May 2016 Soybean imports exceeded 30 million tons. In the second half of the year, the international soybean price is expected to be strong and turbulent due to the weather and the international economic situation in the second half of the year. However, the domestic soybean prices are affected by such factors as the area increase, the normalization of import commodity inspection, the temporary auction of soybeans and the increase in consumer demand. keep it steady.