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本文对新古典增长模型的最新扩展和修正进行了剖析;然后以此为工具,对京津冀、长三角和珠三角地区的生产率及其决定因素进行了比较分析。结果表明,人均资本存量的提高、未具体化的技术进步是推动三大经济圈生产率提高的最基本因素,而已具体化的技术进步对生产率的促进作用并不显著;京津冀和长三角地区的人力资本优势更明显,而珠三角地区的制度环境优势更为突出。据此,本文对三大经济圈、乃至全国如何保持经济的快速增长势头提出了政策建议。
This article analyzes the latest expansion and revision of the neoclassical growth model; and then uses this as a tool to comparatively analyze the productivity and determinants of Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta. The results show that the improvement of capital stock per capital and the unspecified technological progress are the most basic factors to promote the productivity growth of the three major economic circles, while the concrete technological advances have no significant effect on productivity; the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the Yangtze River Delta region Of the human capital advantage is more obvious, while the Pearl River Delta region has more prominent institutional and environmental advantages. Accordingly, this article puts forward policy suggestions on how to maintain the rapid economic growth in the three major economic circles and even in the whole country.