论文部分内容阅读
目的 探讨硚口区甲乙二型肝炎的流行趋势。方法 对硚口区1993～1999年度甲乙二型肝进行流行病学分析。结果 总的趋势,甲肝从1996年后逐年下降。乙肝从1994年逐步上升,1998年微有波动后又有所升高。甲、乙二型肝炎在1995、1996年相遇后各分一路,甲肝发病率逐年下降,乙肝逐步升高。经过应用灰色关联分析方法,预测乙肝发病趋势,其结果非常满意(关联度ri=0.73)。结论 2000年乙肝发病率又是一个高发年,事实亦验证了这一点(年发病率6.51/万,年度发病率7.02/万)。
Objective To investigate the prevalence of hepatitis B and B hepatitis in Qiaokou district. Methods The epidemiological analysis of type A and B hepatitis B in Jiao Kou District from 1993 to 1999 was conducted. The overall trend of the results, hepatitis A decreased from 1996 after the year. Hepatitis B gradually increased from 1994, after a slight fluctuation in 1998 and then increased. A, B Hepatitis B in 1995, met in 1996 after all the way, the incidence of hepatitis A decreased year by year, hepatitis B gradually increased. After applying gray relational analysis to predict the trend of hepatitis B, the results are very satisfactory (correlation degree ri = 0.73). Conclusion The incidence of hepatitis B in 2000 is another high incidence year, which is verified by facts (annual incidence 6.51 / million, annual incidence 7.02 / million).