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针对海外油气田投资开发的特点,构建海外油气开发项目风险指标体系,分别对国家风险指标和技术风险指标进行了赋值依据研究和数值量化,运用层次分析和归一化方法确定海外项目风险指标权重值,并对海外开发项目进行了风险分级。研究表明,海外高风险的开发项目主要集中在政治风险高以及技术风险高的国家和地区。同时针对不同风险提出了相应的投资对策和建议,其评价结果和建议可为海外油气项目投资优选提供一定的决策支持。
According to the characteristics of investment and development of overseas oil and gas fields, this paper constructs the risk index system of overseas oil and gas development projects, and conducts the assignment and numerical quantification of national risk indicators and technical risk indicators respectively, and uses the analytic hierarchy process and the normalized method to determine the weights of overseas project risk indicators , And conducted risk rating on overseas development projects. Research shows that overseas high-risk development projects are mainly concentrated in countries and regions with high political risks and high technical risks. At the same time, the corresponding investment strategies and suggestions are put forward according to the different risks. The evaluation results and suggestions can provide some decision support for the investment optimization of overseas oil and gas projects.