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两次金融危机发生时,中国处在不同的发展阶段。我们不应再选择回归过去的潜在增长率,而是尝试着回归新的潜在增长率。在此情况下,我们会遇到以下两个问题:一是过度刺激带来的后遗症,比如产能过剩、高杠杆、僵尸企业等;二是我们现在还在尝试采取经济刺激政策,但是却和“推绳子”一样使不上劲。供给侧和需求侧所受外部冲击值得研究我们现在处在经济发展的新常态下,对于面临的问题,应该主要从自身调结构、转方式、转变经济增长动能入手,但是在此过程中,外部冲击是必然要发生的,所以我们也必须要有所防备——更何况有些危机也可能是自身原因造成
At the time of the two financial crises, China was at a different stage of development. Instead of choosing the potential growth rate to return to the past, we should try to return to the new potential growth rate. In this case, we will encounter the following two problems: First, the consequences of over-stimulation, such as overcapacity, high leverage, zombie businesses, etc .; Second, we are still trying to adopt economic stimulus, but with “Push the rope ” can not get the same. External shocks to the supply side and demand side deserve study. Now that we are in the new normal of economic development, we should start with adjusting the structure and turning around the mode of economic development and changing the dynamic of economic growth mainly in the face of the problems we face. However, in the process, The impact is bound to happen, so we must also be prepared - not to mention some of the crisis may also be caused by their own reasons