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2017年初,我国CPI、PPI、进出口价格以及GDP平减指数,均呈现出U型走势。价格U型回升反映了包括制造业在内的宏观经济的回暖,对外贸易尤其是进口需求较快回升,居民消费性支出增速相对于收入增速有所提高。价格变化既体现了一定的趋势性的变化,显露出一些前瞻性的信号,也会对经济运行与结构调整产生重要的影响。预计2017年我国经济形势稳中向好,GDP增速有望达到6.5%~7%,CPI涨幅为2.5%~3%。
In early 2017, China’s CPI, PPI, import and export prices and GDP deflator, have shown a U-shaped trend. U-shaped price pick-up reflects the recovery of the macro-economy including manufacturing. Foreign trade, especially the import demand, picked up more rapidly, and the growth rate of consumer spending was higher than that of revenue. Changes in prices not only embody some changes in the trend, revealing some forward-looking signals, but also have a significant impact on the economic operation and structural adjustment. It is estimated that the economic situation in our country will be stabilized in 2017, with GDP growth expected to reach 6.5% -7% and CPI inflation 2.5% -3%.