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经过股改后,上市公司盈利开始出现迅速增长,2006年年报披露的上市公司净利润同比增长45·81%。这为上市公司估值上升提供了支持。粗略测算,假定上市公司利润增长率下降,假定2007年为30%、2008年为20%,那么2008年底如果股指上涨到5000点,市盈率将会在30倍多一点。市盈率预测是建
After the share reform, the profitability of listed companies started to increase rapidly. The net profit of listed companies disclosed in the 2006 annual report increased by 45.81% over the same period of last year. This provides support for the valuation of listed companies to rise. Rough estimates, assuming the profit growth of listed companies decline, assuming 30% in 2007 and 20% in 2008, then if the stock index rose to 5,000 points by the end of 2008, price-earnings ratio will be more than 30 times. P / E forecast is built