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将能源消费影响因素分解为经济规模效应、产业结构效应、技术效应、人口效应和人均能耗效应等,对2000年以来天津市能源消费总量增长进行分析,发现产业结构变化并没有没有带来预期的减量效应,人口增长和生活水平提高驱动生活领域能耗上升,而技术进步成为抑制能源过快增长的唯一积极因素。在此基础上,对天津市“十二五”节能工作重点提出了建议。
The factor analysis of energy consumption is divided into economic scale effect, industrial structure effect, technological effect, population effect and per capita energy consumption effect. The analysis of total energy consumption growth in Tianjin since 2000 shows that the industrial structure change has not been brought Expected reductions, population growth and rising living standards have led to rising energy consumption in the area of living and technology, which has been the only positive factor inhibiting the excessive growth of energy. On this basis, the author puts forward some suggestions on the energy conservation in Tianjin City during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period.