美伊战事·池鱼·破窗

• 作 者: 陈峥嵘
• 机 构: 海通证券研究所 研究员
• 出 处: 经济导刊
• 发表日期: 2003年03期
• 关键词: 战争经济学 美伊战争

随着美伊之间最后摊牌的日子步步迫近,战争似乎已箭在弦上,一触即发。 战争费用的量化分析 在过去几个月中,美国战略与国际研究中心邀请了各领域的专家,对美伊战争可能带来的结果进行了量化分析。一组军事和地缘政治专家把对伊拉克的战争划分为4种可能:(1)没有战争;(2)持续4到6周的短期战争;

As the days of the final showdown between the United States and Iraq are approaching, the war seems to be on the verge of striking. Quantitative Analysis of War Costs In the past few months, the Center for Strategic and International Studies has invited experts in various fields to quantify the possible outcome of the U.S.-Iraq war. A group of military and geopolitical experts divided the war on Iraq into four possibilities: (1) no war; (2) short-term war lasting four to six weeks;