人口增长等于零的社会将是怎样的?

• 作 者: 黄德兴
• 出 处: 现代外国哲学社会科学文摘
• 发表日期: 1980年03期
• 关键词: 人口增长 堪培拉大学 简单再生产 世界人口 戴伊 等于零 扩大再生产 发展前景 出生率 人口结构

澳大利亚国立堪培拉大学研究员、美国学者戴伊,分析了使地球上“人口固定不变”,即保持人口简单再生产和不改变性别年龄结构的发展前景。虽然对大多数国家来说,切合实际的前景是人口的急速增长,而不是简单或扩大再生产,可是,这种“人口固定不变”的现象可能带来的后果,在理论上和实践上都是很重要的。现在,在占世界人口四分之一的国家内,人口发展趋势就是上述的那种情况。

A researcher at the National University of Canberra in Australia, Dai, a scholar at the University of the United States, analyzed the prospects of development that will “fix the population” on earth, that is, to maintain a simple reproduction of the population and to not change the gender age structure. Although a realistic prospect for most countries is the rapid population growth, not simple or expanded reproduction, the consequences of such a “fixed population” are both theoretically and practically It is very important. Now, in a country that accounts for a quarter of the world’s population, the demographic trends are what was said above.