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2004年我国CPI涨幅达到3.9%,是1997年以来的最高涨幅。其中,上年“翘尾”因素为2.2个百分点,新涨价因素为1.7个百分点;食品和居住类价格较快上涨是推动CPI上涨的主要因素。总体来看,CPI涨幅仍在合理、可控的范围内。随着以抑制部分行业投资增长过快为主要目标的宏观调控政策措施效果的进一步显现,以及世界经济由强劲回升转向平稳增长,2005年我国经济增长水平将平稳回落,CPI涨幅也将有所回落,呈温和上涨态势,预计全年涨幅在3%左右,全面通胀的可能不大。
In 2004, China’s CPI rose 3.9%, the highest increase since 1997. Among them, the last year “tail” factor of 2.2 percentage points, the new price factor was 1.7 percentage points; food and housing prices is the main reason for the rapid rise in CPI. Overall, the CPI increase is still within a reasonable and controllable range. With the further appearance of the effect of macroeconomic control and policy measures with the main objective of inhibiting excessive investment growth in some industries and the steady growth of the world economy from a strong rebound, the level of China’s economic growth will steadily decline in 2005 and the CPI increase will also drop somewhat , Showing a mild upward trend. It is estimated that the annual increase will be around 3% and the overall inflation may not be large.