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预计伴随高基数的影响逐渐减轻,未来CPI同比通缩幅度将逐步缩窄,下半年进入正区间。经济先行指标也在好转,利率年内或无下调空间,但CPI同比加速回落显示货币政策的连续性短期内得以保持,不会针对信贷出台调控措施。
It is expected that the impact accompanying the high base will be gradually reduced. In the future, the deflation rate of CPI will be gradually narrowed to the positive interval in the second half of the year. Economic advance indicators are also improving interest rates during the year or no downward adjustment, but the CPI accelerated down year on year showed that the continuity of monetary policy can be maintained within a short period of time, will not be introduced for credit control measures.