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本文通过建立“重复投资困境博弈模型”和“引入外部影响能发挥比较优势的投资博弈模型” ,论证了在“个体行为理性”原则下 ,每个投资主体策略选择不可能达到帕累托最优 ,重复投资不可避免 ,必须引入外部激励约束机制 ,对不按资源禀赋优势投资的地区实行重罚 ,才能走出“重复投资困境”。作者建议 ,国家应针对西部各省市区的优势定位和扮演的角色 ,按照产业政策与区域政策相结合的原则 ,制定具有地区特色的产业政策 ;尽快健全全国性的经济信息网络 ,突出发展特色经济 ;正视地区利益多元化的现实 ,在地区利益与国家利益之间找到平衡点 ,使双方都能获得最大利益 ;完善宏观调控体系 ,加强宏观管理 ,避免产业结构趋同。
This paper demonstrates that under the principle of “individual behavior rationality”, each investment entity’s strategic choice can not reach Pareto optimality through establishing “game model of repeated investment dilemma” and “investment game model that can exert comparative advantage by introducing external influence” . Repeated investment is inevitable. An external incentive and restraint mechanism must be introduced to impose heavy penalties on regions that do not invest in advantages of resource endowments so as to get out of the “double investment dilemma.” The author suggests that the state should, in accordance with the principle of combining industrial policies and regional policies, formulate industrial policies with regional characteristics in light of the advantageous positioning and role played by the provinces and municipalities in the western regions; promptly perfect the nationwide economic information network and highlight the development of distinctive economies In the face of the diversified reality of regional interests, we should find a balance between the interests of the regions and the interests of our country so as to maximize the benefits for both parties. We will improve the macro-control system and strengthen macroeconomic management to avoid the convergence of industrial structures.