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通过纵向比较分析认为:二战后的前三次全球性产业大转移,与之相对应的分别是50年代的冷战、60年代的美元危机、70年代的石油危机,最近的一次产业转移亦有亚洲金融危机的影子。因此,国际产业转移的根本动因是世界生产力的发展和国际分工的深化,但危机作为一个外部性因素,始终伴随全球性产业转移的全过程。由美国次贷危机所引发的新一轮国际金融危机和世界经济波动,亦可能带动新一轮产业转移。有鉴于此,我国需要做好承接新一轮国际产业转移的准备工作。
According to the longitudinal comparative analysis, the first three global industrial transfers after World War II correspond to the Cold War in the 1950s, the U.S. dollar crisis in the 1960s and the oil crisis in the 1970s. The most recent industrial transfer also includes the Asian Financial Shadow of the crisis. Therefore, the fundamental cause of international industrial transfer is the development of world productivity and the deepening of international division of labor. However, as an external factor, the crisis has always accompanied the entire process of global industrial transfer. The new round of international financial crisis and world economic fluctuations triggered by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis may also lead to a new round of industrial transfer. In view of this, our country needs to be well prepared to undertake the new round of international industrial transfer.