A two-stage short-term traffic flow prediction method based on AVL and AKNN techniques

来源 :中南大学学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:zzx_lpx
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the essential issues in intelligent transportation systems (ITS). A new two-stage traffic flow prediction method named AKNN-AVL method is presented, which combines an advancedk-nearest neighbor (AKNN) method and balanced binary tree (AVL) data structure to improve the prediction accuracy. The AKNN method uses patt recognition two times in the searching process, which considers the previous sequences of traffic flow to forecast the future traffic state. Clustering method and balanced binary tree technique are introduced to build case database to reduce the searching time. To illustrate the effects of these developments, the accuracies performance of AKNN-AVL method,k-nearest neighbor (KNN) method and the auto-regressive and moving average (ARMA) method are compared. These methods are calibrated and evaluated by the real-time data from a freeway traffic detector near North 3rd Ring Road in Beijing under both normal and incident traffic conditions. The comparisons show that the AKNN-AVL method with the optimal neighbor and patt size outperforms both KNN method and ARMA method under both normal and incident traffic conditions. In addition, the combinations of clustering method and balanced binary tree technique to the prediction method can increase the searching speed and respond rapidly to case database fluctuations.
其他文献
研究了不同培养条件对银粉背蕨(Aleuritopteris argentea)孢子萌发、配子体生长发育及孢子体苗形成的影响。结果表明:银粉背蕨的孢子萌发为书带蕨型,配子体发育为水蕨型。在4
目的观察新型MCu功能性宫内节育器(intrauterine contraceptive device,IUD)的临床效果。方法将自愿放置IUD的育龄妇女分为两组,分别放置MCu IUD270例、MLCu IUD270例,术后第
[本刊讯]2013年11月20日—22日,中国国际饮料工业科技展(CBST2013)将在上海新国际博览中心W1—W3馆隆重举行,从组委获悉,今年10月开始的展位预订空前火热,国内外知名展商纷纷
The ratio of crack initiation stress to the uniaxial compressive strength (SCI,B/SUC,B) and the ratio of axial strain at the crack initiation stress to the axia
To investigate and analyze the thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) coupling phenomena of a surrounding rock mass in an argillaceous formation, a nuclear waste disposa
本文简单介绍了数据中心机房综合布线设计相关的内容。
本文阐述了现代数据中心机房电气的新特点、功能类别,以及设计要点、设计思路。并结合工程实践,介绍了数据中心机房电气设计中的负荷分级、供电电源、低压配电、导线、电缆选择
Combined effects of Soret (thermal-diffusion) and Dufour (diffusion-thermo) in MHD stagnation point flow by a permeable stretching cylinder were studied. Analys
本文介绍了连云港电视台新闻直播车的系统设计思路、系统构成和设备应用情况。 This article introduces the Lianyungang TV news broadcaster system design ideas, syste
Heat and mass transfer effects in three-dimensional flow of Maxwell fluid over a stretching surface were addressed. Analysis was performed in the presence of in