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(1)频率的概率论。在《科学发现的逻辑》中,我对发展出一种应用于科学的一以贯之的概率论感到兴趣;这是指一种统计的或频率的概率论。但是,在那里我还提出了另一个概念,我称之为“逻辑概率”。因此,我感到需要一种普遍化——一种形式的概率论,它允许作不同的诠释:(1)一个陈述相对任何给定证据的逻辑概率的理论;包括绝对逻辑概率,也即一个陈述相对零证据的概率的量度的理论;(2)一个事件相对任何给定的事件总体(或“集体”)的概率的理论。在解决这个问题时,我获得了一个简单
(1) probability theory of frequency. In “The Logic of Scientific Discovery,” I am interested in developing a consistent theory of probability that applies to science; this refers to a statistical or frequency probability theory. However, there I also put forward another concept, I call it “logical probability.” Therefore, I feel the need for a generalization - a form of probability theory that allows for different interpretations: (1) a theory that states the logical probability of any given evidence; including the absolute logical probability, that is, a statement The theory of a measure of the relative probability of zero evidence; (2) The theory of the probability of an event as a whole (or “group”) relative to any given event. When solving this problem, I got a simple one