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我国化肥生产结构不甚合理,氮肥产量过多,而磷肥和钾肥特别是钾肥明显供给不足,今年是氮吧和磷肥产能扩张的主要时期,但钾肥的产能扩张速度仍然远赶不上需求的增长速度。随着行业景气从成长阶段步入高峰期,化肥生产企业的扩张热情将逐渐减退,氮肥和磷肥的投资及产能扩张在2008年之后将有所减缓,而钾肥则将于2008年左右迎来产能扩展的高峰。
The structure of fertilizer production in our country is not reasonable and the output of nitrogen fertilizer is excessive. However, the supply of phosphate fertilizer and potash fertilizer, especially potassium fertilizer, is obviously insufficient. This year is the major period for the expansion of production capacity of nitrogenous bar and phosphate fertilizer. However, the rate of capacity expansion of potash fertilizer is still far behind the growth rate of demand. As the industry boom from the growth stage to its peak, the enthusiasm of the fertilizer manufacturers will gradually diminish, investment in nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer and capacity expansion will slow down after 2008, and potash will usher in production capacity around 2008 Expanded peak.