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根据日本商船三井调查室的报告,1996年以后的世界经济,估计是在经济高速发展的亚洲各国牵引经济低速发展的日本和欧洲,而进入稳定发展阶段。 不定期船的吨位需求,1996年和1997年恶化,从1998年开始逐渐好转。 船舶吨位的需求缓慢增长,并在向亚洲转移。从货种来看,粮食生产和消费每年有600万吨差距并且依靠由美国进口的中国,估计今后还会像1995年一样继续下去;铁矿石方面,先进国的粗钢生产已经到顶,而以2000年目标定为1.1亿吨以上的中国为首,并以计划增设高炉的韩国和台湾地区为中心,预计进口量将进一步扩大;燃料煤方面,以电力需求有增大倾向的远东和日本为中心,将稳步增长,到2000年估计将要增加4000～5000万吨。
According to the report of the Japanese Merchant Marine Mitsui Research Office, the world economy after 1996 is estimated to be in a stage of steady development in all the Asian countries that have experienced rapid economic growth and the rapid economic development of Japan and Europe. The tonnage demand of irregular ships deteriorated in 1996 and 1997 and gradually improved since 1998. Demand for ship tonnage has slowly increased and is shifting to Asia. From the perspective of the species, there is a 6 million-tonne gap between grain production and consumption every year and by relying on China imported by the United States, it is estimated that the future will continue as in 1995; in terms of iron ore, the crude steel production of advanced countries has reached its peak, In 2000, the target set at more than 110 million tons led by China, and plans to increase the blast furnace in South Korea and Taiwan as the center, is expected to further increase imports; fuel coal, with increasing demand for electricity in the Far East and Japan are Center, will grow steadily, it is estimated by 2000 that it will increase 40 to 50 million tons.