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美国地震学家的老前辈在1983年2月举行的有史以来最大的地球运动专家会议上讲,到现在为止,科学家在预报地震方面不象他们所想的那样好。国家地震预报评定委员会主席、加州理工学院艾伦(Clarence R.Allen)博士对大约350名专家们讲,科学家们虽然掌握一些有益的预报技术,但在即将发生地震灾害的前几天向人民发出警报的能力则仍有待于未来。艾伦说:“在我们地震学界中,那些使公众认为日常例行的地震预报现在已成为现实或是即将实现的人可能自觉有愧。我充分相信,
At a meeting of the world’s largest earth movement experts held in February 1983, the American seismologists’ predecessors said so far scientists are not as good at forecasting earthquakes as they would have thought. Dr. Clarence R. Allen, president of the National Seismic Forecasting Board and a professor at the California Institute of Technology, told about 350 experts that although scientists have some useful forecasting techniques, they are issued to people just days before the imminent earthquake disaster The ability to alert is still in the future. Allen said: "In our field of seismology, those who make the public believe that routine routine earthquake prediction now or soon to be realized may be self-consciously ashamed.I fully believe that,