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受全球和中国经济增长放缓影响,2012年国内能源供需形势重现久违的宽松。能源投资增加,供应能力持续增长,需求增速明显回落。煤炭、石油价格出现了一定程度的下降,短期仍将保持下行趋势。但是,从长期来看,随着经济增长和城镇化加快推进,中国能源需求将长期保持增长趋势,保障能源供应的压力依然存在,能源安全仍然面临挑战。一、经济增长减速,能源需求增长暂时放缓2012年,世界经济复苏乏力,经济增长速度由2011年的3.9%继续回落,预计将
Affected by the global and slowdown of China’s economic growth, the domestic energy supply and demand situation will resume its long-standing easing in 2012. Energy investment increased, supply capacity continued to grow, demand growth dropped significantly. Coal, oil prices have declined to a certain extent, the short term will continue to maintain the downward trend. However, in the long run, with the acceleration of economic growth and urbanization, China’s energy demand will maintain a long-term growth trend. The pressure to guarantee energy supply will remain and energy security will still face challenges. I. Slowdown in economic growth and temporary slowdown in growth in energy demand In 2012, the global economic recovery was sluggish and the rate of economic growth continued to decline from 3.9% in 2011. It is estimated that