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2011年:新兴市场经济体经济增速仍将明显快于发达经济体,二者的两极分化趋势将导致国际汇率产生较大波动;欧洲主权债务危机存在进一步加深和蔓延的可能性,欧盟成员国为应对债务危机采取的财政整顿措施短期内可能抑制经济增长;全球贸易可能因发达国家去杠杆化和主权债务危机导致的财政紧缩而出现下滑;就业不足问题将继续困扰主要发达经济体;全球金融系统有毒资产尚不能完全清除……这些因素的存在将使
2011: The growth rate of emerging market economies will still be significantly faster than that of developed economies. The polarization trend between the two will lead to greater volatility in international exchange rates. The European sovereign debt crisis may further deepen and spread. The EU member states Fiscal consolidation measures to deal with the debt crisis may curb economic growth in the short term; global trade may decline due to fiscal austerity caused by the deleveraging and sovereign debt crises in developed countries; the problem of underemployment will continue to plague major developed economies; the global financial System toxic assets can not be completely removed ... ... The existence of these factors will make