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由伊拉克入侵科威特在中东所引起的一场全面对抗,极大地威胁着世界经济的发展。随着石油价格的上涨,金融市场受到了震动,现在,全世界都在担心发生全球性的经济衰退,世界银行的经济学家们在一项旨在使这些推测具有预见性和具体内容的报告中,提出了世界经济的四种设想。第一种设想是局势迅速恢复正常,它假定这场危机会在今年年底之前或之后不久结束。经过一段时间的价格上涨之后,随着经济增长速度放慢和石油输
The overall confrontation in the Middle East caused by Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait has greatly threatened the development of the world economy. Financial markets have been shaken as oil prices have risen, and the world is now worried about a global economic downturn. World Bank economists, in a report designed to make these speculations predictable and specific, In which four scenarios of world economy were put forward. The first scenario is a quick return to normal, assuming that the crisis will end shortly before or after the end of this year. After a period of price increases, with the slowdown in economic growth and oil transport