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主要针对企业R&D项目通常所具有的复杂或美式的实物期权特征,运用基于最小二乘估计思想的改进型蒙特卡罗模拟方法对其价值评价问题进行研究与探讨.首先,对企业R&D项目理论评价模型和蒙特卡罗模拟过程进行系统研究探讨;在此基础上,通过生物医药制造企业的R&D项目评价进行实际模拟分析.研究结论认为,相对于其它数值分析而言,蒙特卡罗模拟将成为解决企业R&D项目评价问题的一种更为有效的分析方法.
This paper focuses on the complex or American real option characteristics that enterprise R & D projects usually have, and uses the improved Monte Carlo simulation method based on least squares estimation to study and discuss its value evaluation.Firstly, Model and Monte Carlo simulation process; on the basis of this, the actual simulation analysis of the R & D project evaluation of biomedical manufacturing enterprises is conducted.The conclusion of the study is that Monte Carlo simulation will be the solution to other numerical analysis A More Effective Analysis Method for Evaluating Enterprise R & D Projects.