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由于冰川的存在及其退缩，乌鲁木齐河源１号冰川的径流量高出同等条件下非冰川区径流量的６１％，其中９２％是由于冰川退缩和减薄补给的．７０年代中期开始的气候变暖引起的冰川径流增加过程，在冰川补给最丰富的塔里木河流域年径流系列中有一定程度的反映，特别是在冰川覆盖率较大（＞５％）的河流，１９７７～１９８９年与１９５６～１９７６年相比，在冰川补给最大的８月份，降水减少，气温升高，而山区径流明显增大；根据不同方法对冰川物质平衡的研究成果表明，若气温升高１℃，冰川径流的增加幅度不小于目前冰川径流的５０％，也就是说冰川的存在可以在一定程度和时间内抵消或减弱气候变暖对西北干旱区水资源的不利影响
Due to the existence and retreat of glaciers, the runoff of Glacier No.1 in Heyuan of Urumqi is higher than 61% of the non-glacier runoff under the same conditions, of which 92% is due to the retreat and thinning of glaciers. The increase of glacier runoff caused by climate warming started in the mid-1970s is reflected to some extent in the annual runoff series of the Tarim River Basin, where the glacier supplies are most abundant. Especially in the rivers with large glacier coverage (> 5%), Compared with 1956-1976, the precipitation decreased and the temperature increased in mountainous area during the period from 1977 to 1989, which was the largest in glacier supply in August. The research on the material balance of glaciers according to different methods showed that if the temperature is higher 1 ℃, the increase of glacier runoff should not be less than 50% of the current glacier runoff, which means that the existence of glacier can offset or weaken the adverse effect of climate warming to the water resources of northwest arid area to a certain extent and time