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亚太经济一体化进程中,建立自贸区(FTA)正成为各国制定对外贸易战略的重要组成部分。通过选取亚太地区24个经济体1992-2014年552个样本的面板数据进行分析,研究表明:中国同发达国家每签订一个自贸协定,对成员国的双边贸易会有显著的促进作用;如果APEC机制下的发展中经济体都与中国签订自贸协定,将会导致亚太经合组织功能的“失位”;FTA的“叠加”将导致贸易停滞现象;在总体上,FTA的贸易效应十分明显,中国同亚太发展中经济体建立FTA能够对双边贸易产生显著的积极作用,但FTA的数量应该控制在合理的区间内。
In the process of economic integration in Asia-Pacific, the establishment of a free trade area (FTA) is becoming an important part of the strategy of all countries in formulating their foreign trade. By analyzing the panel data of 552 samples from 1992 to 2014 in 24 economies in the Asia Pacific region, the study shows that: Each time a free trade agreement is signed between China and developed countries, bilateral trade with member countries can be significantly promoted. If APEC The signing of a free trade agreement with China in the developing economies under the mechanism will lead to the “loss of power” of the APEC’s functions. The “overdone” of the FTA will result in trade stagnation. In general, the trade effect of the FTA It is quite clear that the establishment of FTA between China and the developing economies in Asia and the Pacific can have a significant positive effect on bilateral trade. However, the number of FTAs should be controlled within a reasonable range.