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基于WIOD数据库测算了1995-2009年中国增加值出口总量,分析其被吸收的途径、国别(地区)流向和部门分布。结果发现,出口统计数据夸大了总出口;增加值出口的增长集中在2001年中国加入WTO之后;增加值出口主要被直接进口国所吸收,被第三国间接吸收份额小;增加值出口主要流向发达经济体,但流向新兴经济体的比重随全球价值链的发展而上升。从部门结果来看,中国制造业出口带来的利润不高,资源型行业的出口获利较多但会导致资源和环境问题。
Based on the WIOD database, the total amount of China’s value-added exports from 1995 to 2009 was estimated, and its ways of absorption, country (region) flow and sectoral distribution were analyzed. The results showed that the export statistics exaggerated the total exports; the growth of value added exports concentrated after China’s accession to the WTO in 2001; the exports of value added were mainly absorbed by the direct importing countries and the indirect imports by the third countries were small; and the exports of value added mainly went to developed Economies, but the proportion flowing to emerging economies rises with the development of global value chains. Judging from the sector results, the profits from the export of manufacturing in China are not high, while the exports from resource-based industries are more profitable but cause resource and environmental problems.