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科学判断形势,实属不易,像毛泽东这样的伟人也会出现失误,要受到多种因素的影响,第一是体制因素上的制约,渠道不畅,信息失真;第二是思想理论上的局限,传统理论的影响;第三是认识方法上的局限,用旧的方法、老的经验去观察新的事物和现象;第四是科技素养上的局限,领导人的科技和经济知识不够的影响;第五是领导人作风上的问题,个人崇拜、个人专断的影响;第六是国际局势上的制约,美国和苏联压力的影响。分析原因,吸取经验教训,才能更好地提高我们的科学判断形势的能力。
To judge the situation scientifically is not easy. Mighty people like Mao Zedong also make mistakes, which are subject to many factors. The first is institutional constraints, poor access and information distortion. The second is ideological and theoretical limitations , Traditional theory; the third is to understand the limitations of the method, the old method, the old experience to observe new things and phenomena; the fourth is the scientific and technological literacy limitations, lack of scientific and technological leadership and economic knowledge The fifth is the style of the leaders, the individual worship and the influence of individualism. The sixth is the restriction in the international situation and the pressure from the United States and the Soviet Union. Analysis of the reasons, learn from experience, can we better improve our ability to judge the situation.