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预测必须以一定的数据、经验为基础。但在客观上,许多情况下的数据往往不够精确,观测值对真实值的逼近程度也不同,甚至在许多情况下得不到数据而不得不依靠人的经验定性判定。因此,基于FUZZY数的FUZZY预测方法有着特殊的意义,本文对一种正态型FUZ-ZY数模糊预测模型及其求解方法进行了研究,考虑了统计数据与专家经验作为综合预测信息的问题,同时又可以充分利用传统预测方法(模型)。在很多情况下该方法是行之有效的。
Forecast must be based on certain data and experience. However, objectively, the data in many cases are often not accurate enough, the approximation of the observed value to the true value is different, and in many cases the data can not be obtained but the qualitative judgment depends on human experience. Therefore, the FUZZY-based FUZZY prediction method has special significance. In this paper, a normal FUZ-ZY fuzzy prediction model and its solution method are studied. Considering the statistical data and expert experience as the comprehensive prediction information, While taking full advantage of traditional prediction methods (models). This method works well in many situations.