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为了评估渤海海峡跨海通道项目的投资风险,利用层次分析法进行了投资风险分析,分解了影响渤海海峡跨海通道项目的各项因素,按各因素对项目总风险影响大小进行排序,分析了在项目进展过程中最应该把握的关键因素。分析结果表明:各子项目的影响程度从大到小依次是地理条件、技术水平、意外事件、资金、资源利用和政策法规;按风险由大到小将风险划分为4个级别,海底地质情况风险最大,防灾救援系统、照明系统等隧道项目中的基础功能设施风险较大,洞口防洪设施、隧道监控系统等设施风险较小,规划预留功能风险最小;最后对结果进行了解释,项目规划者与投资者可以参考分析结果进行风险管理。
In order to evaluate the investment risk of the Bohai Strait Crossing Channel project, the investment risk analysis was conducted by AHP, and the factors affecting the project of cross-sea passage in the Bohai Strait were decomposed. According to the factors affecting the total risk of the project, The most important factor that should be grasped in the progress of the project. The results of the analysis show that the impacts of all subprojects are geography, technology, accidents, capital, resources utilization and policies and regulations in descending order of risk. According to the risks, the risk is divided into four levels, the risk of seabed geological conditions Largest, disaster relief and rescue systems, lighting systems and other tunnel projects in the basic functional facilities risk, flood control facilities, tunnel monitoring systems and other facilities less risk, planning and reservation function of the smallest risk; Finally, the results were explained, the project planning Investors and investors can refer to the analysis of risk management.