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日本大和综合研究所预测,日本1992至1997年家电电脑业的前景不妙。估计电机业的国内生产值平均每年只增长0.9％,家电产品甚至出现0.1％的负增长。该所提出的中期(时间为1993年至1997年,比较数据以1992年为基准)预测报告分析,日本电机业增长减速的原因为:①“泡沫经济”瓦解后供需失调;②日圆升值削弱国际竞争力,厂商纷纷移至国外生产;③缺乏民用新产品;④电脑产业结构变化迅速。 报告认为,日本液晶、移动式通信等新行业稳定增长,但基于以上影响因素,80年代增长率超过一成的通信机器和半导体会降至年增长5％左右。未来日本家电和电脑企业会出现负增长。家电业中,录音音响器
Japan’s Daiwa Research Institute predicts that Japan’s home appliance computer industry’s outlook from 1992 to 1997 is not good. It is estimated that the domestic production value of the motor industry only grows by an average of 0.9% each year, and home appliances have even experienced a negative growth of 0.1%. According to the analysis of the medium-term (from 1993 to 1997, comparative data based on 1992) forecast report, the reasons for the slowdown in the growth of Japan’s electrical industry are: 1) “a bubble economy” after the collapse of supply and demand; 2 yen appreciation weakens internationally Competitiveness, manufacturers have moved to foreign production; 3 lack of new civilian products; 4 computer industry structure changes rapidly. According to the report, new industries such as LCDs and mobile communications in Japan have been growing steadily. However, based on the above factors, the growth rate of communications equipment and semiconductors that have grown by more than 10% in the 1980s will decrease to around 5% year-on-year. Japan’s home appliances and computer companies will experience negative growth in the future. Home appliance industry, recording sounder