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构造并验证了种子发芽率一阶动力预测模型。预测了顺流干燥过程中种子发芽率，分析了干燥过程中谷物发芽率的变化规律，给出了保证种子发芽率损失在１０％以内的极限热风温度。
The first-order dynamic prediction model of seed germination rate was constructed and verified. The seed germination rate was predicted during the downstream drying process. The variation of grain germination rate during the drying process was analyzed. The limit hot air temperature was obtained to ensure the seed germination loss within 10%.