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世界经济下滑导致2009年世界石油需求预期下降,但石油开采成本刚性使得油价下跌空间有限,美元贬值预期为国际油价反弹埋下伏笔。伴随着需求减弱和投机力量的此消彼长,2009年国际油价或先探底后反弹。我国战略石油储备起步较晚,应抓住低油价时机,加快储备进度。境外油气资产并购良机显现,中资石油公司应与中资金融机构形成合力,携手迎接国际化的挑战。
The global economic downturn led to the expected decline in world oil demand in 2009, but the rigid cost of oil exploration has limited space for oil prices to fall. The devaluation of the U.S. dollar is expected to pave the way for a rebound in international oil prices. With the weakened demand and the speculative forces of the shift, in 2009 the international oil prices rebounded after the bottom first. China’s strategic oil reserve started late, we should seize the opportunity of low oil prices and speed up the progress of reserves. Mergers and acquisitions of overseas oil and gas opportunities appear, Chinese oil companies should work together with Chinese-funded financial institutions to jointly meet the challenges of internationalization.