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情报预测是情报工作中极为重要的一环,情报预测主体是情报预测活动中的决定性因素,因此,研究影响情报预测主体的因素具有重要的基础和现实意义。本文从思维模式、文化背景、知识结构、政治觉悟工作作风和个人修养、个体对新事物的认知接受能力五个方面分析了它们是如何作用于情报预测主体的。
Intelligence forecasting is an extremely important part in the intelligence work. The main body of intelligence forecasting is the decisive factor in the information forecasting activities. Therefore, it is important to study the factors that affect the main body of intelligence forecasting, which has important basic and practical significance. This article analyzes how they act on the subject of intelligence forecasting from five aspects: thinking mode, cultural background, knowledge structure, political consciousness style and personal accomplishment, and individual ’s cognitive receptivity to new things.