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猪肉产业的健康发展对稳定我国的社会经济生活有着至关重要的影响,本文利用Panel Data模型对商务部畜禽屠宰统计监测系统所收集的2008~2009年我国32个地区的生猪平均收购价、屠宰量、生产量、销售量、白条肉出厂价等指标进行实证分析,指出我国白条肉销售价格主要受到生猪收购价格因素的影响,具有显著的正相关性;除贵州、四川等6个地区外,其余地区的销售价格对屠宰量、生产量和销售量三个因素的变化均不敏感。此外,研究结果还反应出经济发达的东部区域的白条肉基准销售价格明显高于西部区域的价格,而生猪收购价对西部区域的销售价格的影响程度明显高于东部区域。
The healthy development of the pork industry has a crucial impact on the stability of China’s social and economic life. In this paper, Panel Data is used to analyze the average purchase price of pigs in 32 regions in China from 2008 to 2009 collected by the Ministry of Commerce’s Livestock and Poultry Slaughtering Statistics and Monitoring System, Slaughtering capacity, production volume, sales volume and the ex-factory price of white striped meat were analyzed empirically. The results showed that the sales price of white striped meat in China was mainly affected by the price of hog buying, which had a significant positive correlation. Except for 6 regions such as Guizhou and Sichuan The sales prices in other regions are not sensitive to the changes in the three factors of slaughtering volume, production volume and sales volume. In addition, the results also reflect that the benchmark sales price of white meat in the economically developed eastern region is significantly higher than that in the western region, while the impact of the purchase price of hogs on the sales price in the western region is significantly higher than that of the eastern region.