供给侧结构性改革:新常态下经济增长的动力——基于超越对数生产函数对新疆经济增长的实证分析

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2015年11月,中央财经领导小组第十一次会议提出,在适度扩大总需求的同时,着力加强供给侧结构性改革。“十三五”时期是经济发展方式转变与经济结构调整的关键时期,理清供给侧结构性改革的经济学理论与实证结论,从计量经济学角度对供给侧结构性改革进行全要素生产率分析,探讨经济新常态下推进供给侧结构性改革的具体措施,不仅具有学术价值,更有实际指导意义。本文从新疆经济新常态的实际出发,通过建立对新疆资本、劳动力、土地的超越对数生产函数,计算出新疆生产函数中各要素对于产出的贡献率。得出推进供给侧结构性改革,是适应新疆经济发展“新常态”的新思路,是实现发展方式从粗放到集约、从数量到质量深刻转变的新要求,更是增强新疆经济发展的新举措。 In November 2015, the Eleventh Meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Leading Group proposed that while appropriately increasing aggregate demand, efforts should be made to strengthen supply-side structural reforms. The “Thirteen-Five” period is a crucial period for the transformation of economic development mode and economic restructuring. It clarifies the economic theory and empirical conclusions of the supply-side structural reform. From the econometrics point of view, Productivity analysis, to explore specific measures to promote supply-side structural reforms under the new normal economic conditions are not only of academic value but also of practical guidance. Based on the new economic normal in Xinjiang, this paper calculates the contribution rate of various factors in Xinjiang production function to the output by establishing the transcendental logarithm production function of capital, labor force and land in Xinjiang. It is concluded that advancing structural reform on the supply side is a new way of adapting to the “new normal” of economic development in Xinjiang and a new requirement for transforming the mode of development from extensiveness to intensiveness and from quantity to quality. It also enhances the economic development in Xinjiang New move
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